Newcastle United entertain Stoke City on Sunday afternoon at St. James' Park (3pm kick-off) and will be hoping to build on their recent run of good form.
The Magpies have won half of their home games this season and also five of their last eight hosting middle-third teams.
Stoke are in poor form following a sixth defeat in eight games last weekend and tend to struggle on the road. The Potters have lost 13 - and won only one - of their last 23 away games and have failed to score in eight of their last 12.
But will United be tired after travelling all the way to Moscow for their midweek Europa League tie? The data says no.
Backing the home team after an away Europa League fixture has produced an average profit of £10 to £100 stakes historically. This is not a fast route to riches, but it does put to question the automatic assumption that Premier League sides suffer after European away fixtures.
If anything, the bookies seem to overestimate the impact of a midweek Europa league tie.
All things considered, Newcastle look great value for the home win at 1.91.
The goals market looks tricky, with the two teams polar opposites when it comes to match goal trends.
Newcastle have seen over 2.5 goals in ten out of 14 home games, while Stoke have been under in ten out of 14 away games.
Although the midweek European tie may not impact on the result as much as thought, it could have an impact on goals, making correct score 1-0 the most attractive outcome here at 7.0.
For all the best odds, visit Bet Butler.